August 2021 - Uncertainty & Decision Making
August 01, 2021
“There are two kinds of forecasters: those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know.” John Kenneth Galbraith
July 2021 - First Half 2021 Update
July 01, 2021
We started writing these monthly letters with two objectives. First, we wanted to create a forum for providing regular updates on our own approach to investing in fixed income securities in order to better educate current and potential clients on how and why we are making the investme …
June 2021 - Introduction to Forward Rates
June 01, 2021
Successful fixed income investing requires ongoing tactical and strategic analysis. At Roosevelt Capital Management (“RCM”), tactical considerations revolve almost entirely around our perspective on the liquidity and solvency of the issuers of individual securities, two topics we have …
May 2021 - Introduction to Breakeven Rates
May 01, 2021
Stories about the rise of post-pandemic inflation are everywhere right now. As with so many things in the news these days, however, much of the information being conveyed is politically motivated, superficial, or just plain wrong. Of course, it is one thing to pontificate about where …
April 2021 - The Merits of Short Duration High Yield in Today’s Investment Climate
April 01, 2021
Fixed income investors are taking a beating these days as evidenced by the Barclays Aggregate Q1 2021 performance of -3.37%. While there are myriad reasons for this situation, they can pretty much all be summed up in a recent comment by Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio who said, “Bond markets …
March 2021 - Understanding Modified Duration
March 01, 2021
If you spend any time in the fixed income world, you are likely to come across a bond statistic called “modified duration”. If the term is new to you, the definitions online or in articles are often confusing because the actual calculation is somewhat complex and typically assumes som …
February 2021 - Interest Rate Risk Enters the Equation
February 01, 2021
One of the recurring themes in our many conversations with both existing and prospective clients over the past six months has been the fact that investors were not being compensated for taking on interest rate risk. That is all starting to change, and it is starting to change quickly.
January 2021 - 2020 Recap
January 01, 2021
We hope you are well and starting off the new year safe and healthy. The purpose of this letter is to recap 2020 and provide an outlook for 2021.